Saturday, September 02, 2006

New Canadian Poll Numbers

Extra! Extra! read all about it: The Conservatives are stuck in opinion poll hell.

Two new polls from Ipsos-Reid and Decima show that if an election was held tomorrow, the Cons would still find themselves in a minority government situation and the Liberals need to pay attention to the fact that the Conservatives' support of Israel has cost them voters - expecially in Quebec.

The survey of 1,002 Canadian voters showed support for the Conservatives had slipped to 38 percent, from 39 percent in a July poll, while backing for the opposition Liberals rose to 29 percent from 27 percent.

But Conservative support had fallen to just 22 percent in Quebec, from a high of 34 percent soon after Canada's federal election in January.
[...]
A Decima survey of 1,010 voters, published by Canadian Press late on Friday, showed the Conservatives with 31 percent support, compared with 28 percent for the Liberals.

About 41 percent of those polled said the Conservatives had done a good enough job to deserve re-election, while 41 percent said that was not the case.

The CBC has more on the Decima poll results:

When it comes to national voting intentions, the poll suggests the Conservatives continue to lag behind the numbers they picked up in the January election.

The survey found 33 per cent support for the Tories among decided voters across the country compared with the 36.3 per cent they won in January.

The Liberals had 28 per cent, down from the election showing of 30.2 per cent.

The NDP was at 19 per cent, above their election night 17.5 per cent. The Bloc was holding steady at 10 per cent.

I have no idea why the Reuters article says the Cons are at 31% while the CBC has them at 33%. The numbers aren't up on Decima's web site yet. Regardless, the fact that they're sitting at such a low number bodes well for the opposition parties who need to grab onto this momentum and push back hard against a government that has already proven to be arrogant - the very charge the Cons foisted against the Liberals all of those years. In Harper's case, however, it only took a matter of months to attain that reputation and it's doubtful he'll change his strategy any time soon. As long as the Conservatives stay on this course, they're doomed to failure and that is Good Thing™.

No comments:

Post a Comment